A week changes everything in the Scottish independence debate

Around a week ago there was the by now, usual stalemate in regards Scottish independence. Boris Johnson becoming Prime Minister had made independence seem better for so many people but there was no sign of Nicola Sturgeon or her government pushing for the referendum many of us in Scotland are dessperate for. Then a new Ashcroft poll was released and since then merry hell has broken lose as the momentum is clearly towards a yes vote.

In around a week carnage has broken loose with the Unionist side in a sheer blind panic not knowing what to do. Rumours of private Tory polls swirl around with these polls showing what Ashcroft revealed, and of course Labour come wading into the debate again pushing the same lines they did in 2014 but the difference is no, few are listening. In short,  they’re scared shitless.

On the other side the Yes Movement’s divides are open and bleeding, but frankly, it needs to be done. There’s always been an awkward divide between the West of Scotland intelligentsia and the mass of working class  Yes supporters which previously was shown up with RISE, who claimed to offer an ‘alternative’ to the SNP and Greens but ended up being typical champagne leftists whose support for independence buckled when Jeremy Corbyn fluttered his eyes at them in the 2017 election.

Then this weekend gone, Wings Over Scotland said that they’d be running candidates in the 2021 Scottish elections, and seeing as Stuart Campbell is equally hated by those on the Indy and Unionist side then as you can imagine social media has become a quagmire. However the plan to target only certain seats with Unionist MSP’s is quite attractive partly as it’d hurt the amount of Unionist seats but show there’s a willingness in the Yes movement to take the fight to the enemy as it were. I’m no supporter of Campbell’s personal views outwith of independence but I fail to see anyone else stepping up to do the job he does. He’s far more effective and frankly, if we go into the next referendum playing nice we’re fucked.

But there’s a clear divide between ‘polite’ Yes supporters and the mass of mainly working class supporters who’ve in many cases never supported anything political in their lives. Now as someone who went around political circles in their youth that divide comes from the old SWP days where thet’d look at the working class as people to manipulate and if they couldn’t they’d dismiss them. One of the wonderful things about the Yes movement is that there’s no SWP types at the helm to fuck things up as they have Labour under Corbyn.

Fact is though that without there being an actual referendum to fight all the divides are showing, things are creaking as after all, some people in Scotland on the Yes side may want independence, but not right now while they’re building up their media or political career but the fact is the last few days have shown that independence is becoming a real prospect for many people who’d not have considered it previously and if we can’t become indepndent when Boris Johnson is leading the UK into a circle of hell all of its own then we don’t deserve alternatives like independence.

Advertisements

John Oliver on Boris Johnson

John Oliver is on the whole, a fucking genius. However he’s vastly more effective as a comedian tearing our new Prime Minister Boris Johnson to tiny wee shreds than most of our media and the official opposition. This is essential, and utterly terrifying, viewing.

Apocalypse Now

This..creature, is now the UK’s Prime Minister at the start (if you think the last three years have been bad you ain’t seen nothing yet) of the worst peacetime crisis in UK history.

boris-kipper

Of course the Germans have him nailed.

dpbj

In short; we’re fucked. There is no way out. The Tory Party are closing ranks much to the pain of middle class liberals who thought Rory Stewart would lead a revolt, and Johnson will make any deal he can with Nigel Farage’s lot of dangerous arseholes (I fully expect Farage in government within the year) to keep Labour (who are more interested in some fucked up campaign of political purity anyhow) and other opposition parties out. An election will be held an barring some miracle, Boris Johnson will keep his job.

We’re fucked. Really fucked and we’re not even at rock bottom yet.

The state of British politics

Watching the Boris Johnson and Jeremy Hunt debate on Sky it strikes me how utterly and totally fucked we are, and by ‘we’ I mean those of us who aren’t political zealots, careerists, white supremacists, disaster capitalist/socialists, antisemites, Islamophobes or just generally arseholes.

By the end of this month Boris Johnson will be Prime Minister. A man totally out of his depth and unable to do anything that isn’t for his benefit, or the benefit of those who he’s in the pocket of like Steve Bannon and Donald Trump. Meanwhile the Conservative Party will hope Johnson provides the aid they need against Nigel Farage’s Brexit Party who are soaking up support mainly from the Tories and anyhow, Johnson will do a deal with Farage to ensure the Tories remain in power and Farage gets that top job he’s been after for decades.

Good thing we’ve got an effective official opposition then! Oh wait, we don’t. Labour aren’tfit for purpose trapped in an antisemitism scandal that could have been stopped by chucking out some of the SWP types who’ve got back in the party years ago, but they’re now trapped. Anyhow, the leadership and a chunk of Corbyn followers are more interested in political purity than power or any actual concern for people who’ll be fucked over by Brexit.

Hey, there’s the Lib Dems! Well, no. The party has fine remain credentials but otherwise is a swamp of what Thatcher used to call ‘wets’, which basically means the likes of Jo Swinson (potential leader) is happy supporting things like the bedroom tax and imposing austerity upon people because she doesn’t give a fuck about the poor.

Here in Scotland there’s the SNP who have discovered the art of saying much and doing little to progress the fight for a second independence referendum beyond vague rhetoric. The suspicion is that many in the middle and higher reaches of the party are happy with the power and influence they have, and knowing fine well the only way we’re getting independence is via the SNP, are happy stringing things along. After all as soon as we’re independent the political landscape is literally up for grabs and people like their advisor jobs or seats in Holyrood or Westminster or having the ear of Nicola Sturgeon.

Then there’s the Greens, but they’re clogged in identity politics  (which to be fair, the SNP and Labour are too) while seeming happy to sit in the SNP’s slipstream.

With a no deal Brexit coming on Halloween, we seem to be stuck with a mess and nobody with the spine to make a break for sanity. Because we are leaving and it will be with no deal. Johnson’s career hinges on it and he won’t let his career fail even if it means a recession to make 2009’s seem like a blip, plus with the Labour leadership convinced their form of Brexit will be better (kind of like saying AIDS is better than cancer) we really are in a state.

But hey, the sun’s out for now.

This milkshake fights fascists

Nigel Farage is the latest hard right neo-fascist to enjoy a cold milkshake as the people of Newcastle decided to protest him and what he represents. Other far right types have had the milkshake experience this summer so far, but by far it is Farage’s brittle reaction which shows no self-awareness that is telling. Remember, this is the man who dismissed the murderer of Jo Cox, has used the language of racism to whip up hate against minority groups and has said he’d take up arms himself.

Some are saying that this is wrong. That we should undo Farage by debate & this plays into his victim complex. The latter is partly true as Farage will use this to play the victim but those saying we should be tolerant of his views should heed the words of Karl Popper and his Paradox of Tolerance.

The increasingly tolerant society we’ve built up since the 1960’s is under threat because those who are intolerant don’t wish us to have such a society. They want  intolerance to grow and to do that means they have to be treated seriously and as equals. The minute that happens they dig in and in and in until we’re at where we’re at today.

So, let the milkshakes flow this summer…

Boris Johnson is probably the UK’s next PM

Theresa May has finally, and somewhat badly, announced how she’s eventually going to stand down but this is not a time to celebrate as next up is Boris Johnson. Sure, he might just be a candidate at the minute but realistically the Tories are so scared shitless of being made extinct by The Brexit Party and Nigel Farage, that they’ll elect someone many Tory MP’s hate and will lie his arse off to get what he clearly wants which is to be Prime Minister.

So Johnson will be the Ultra-Brexiter. He’ll pitch a hardline to the millions voting for Farage in the European Elections next week, and he’ll also I imagine throw a bone to Farage himself. Meaning he’s likely to throw him in as a candidate and the Brexiter takeover of the Tory Party will be complete.

For those of us in Scotland, we’d best get going before we’re drawn in any deeper to just exactly what is going to happen once a liar and and idiot, who also happens to be as populist and bigoted as Donald Trump. We’re heading for seriously dark days.

Racism on the BBC

It’s been a funny 24 hours for the BBC and racism. Firstly they sack Danny Baker for a racist, and ridiculous Tweet. On a roll, they decide then to give Nigel Farage a free for all on Question Time to push his sub-Mosley line in modern fascism and today on Politics Live, Andrew Neil (well known Tory) interviewed Ben Shapiro, an American ”conservative” (hard to far right in English) commentator in the USA famous for mainly calling lefties, ”snowflakes”.

In the interview Neil pretty much destroys Shapiro exposing him as a brittle, bigoted narcissist. Most fun of all Shapiro accuses Neil of being a biased lefty which is hilarious. Watch it all, it’s astonishing viewing.

This might be fun, but the question needs to be asked as to why the BBC are giving yet more airtime to someone from the hard, to far right and although this time he was sent away with his tail between his legs,there’s been dozens of times people like Farage were allowed to speak unopposed  At this time when extremists are gaining so much power it is the job of the media to hold people like Shapiro to account, which happened here but the reason this is standing out as this is a rarity.

Expect normal service to resume tomorrow.